As early as two weeks ago, investors were closely watching whether the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would approve a Bitcoin ETF. At the same time, the emergence of fake news brought hope to the market, only to be followed by disappointment and renewed hope. The price of the cryptocurrency fluctuated greatly between $27,000 and $35,000, leaving speculators feeling like they were on a roller coaster. The author even suspects that these fake news stories were orchestrated to facilitate market manipulation by market makers.
As a Bitcoin investor, the author has always been closely monitoring the market's reaction to the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF by the SEC. Although this news initially gave me hope for a revival of the Bitcoin bull market, I am increasingly skeptical about whether the launch of a spot ETF alone can reverse the market trend.
Market's Overreliance on ETF as a "Savior"
Like two weeks ago, the drastic price fluctuations driven by news about fake ETFs like BlackRock highlight the market's fragility and its overreliance on ETFs as a "savior." Currently, most of my acquaintances hope that ETFs can push prices back to new highs. However, I believe that ETFs are just one of many factors at play. Even if a Bitcoin spot ETF brings convenience to investors, it may not necessarily attract a large influx of capital in the short term, especially if interest rates remain high and the situation remains uncertain, causing investors to adopt a conservative investment approach and hold a cautious attitude toward risk assets.
Short-Term Bitcoin Volatility Persists
I believe that in the short term, Bitcoin's volatility will continue for some time, especially around SEC decisions and fake news. As investors, we need to remain vigilant, avoid blindly chasing highs, and not fully believe every headline.
Rather than placing our hopes solely on ETFs, I recommend focusing on the long-term value of Bitcoin, establishing positions through regular investments, and learning to distinguish short-term speculative noise. By conducting thorough research and adhering to our investment arguments with discipline, we should not overly rely on these news stories or engage in hearsay. DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
